pg_orrery/test/expected/od_fit.out
Ryan Malloy 87ab81e7d0 Add observation-to-TLE fitting (orbit determination) for v0.4.0
Batch weighted least-squares differential correction using equinoctial
elements, LAPACK dgelss_() for SVD solve, vendored SGP4/SDP4 as the
propagation engine. Per Vallado & Crawford (2008) AIAA 2008-6770.

New SQL functions:
  - tle_from_eci(): fit TLE from ECI position/velocity ephemeris
  - tle_from_topocentric(): fit TLE from az/el/range observations
  - tle_fit_residuals(): per-observation position residuals diagnostic

Solver features: 6-state (orbital) or 7-state (+ B*) fitting,
equinoctial elements for singularity-free optimization, tiered step
limiting, Brouwer/Kozai Newton-Raphson conversion, auto initial guess
from first ECI observation when no seed TLE provided.

Tested: 8 regression tests (LEO/MEO/near-circular round-trips,
B* recovery, topocentric, seedless, error handling, diagnostics),
67 standalone math unit tests, all 14 suites pass.
2026-02-17 15:44:48 -07:00

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-- od_fit.sql -- Regression tests for TLE fitting (orbit determination)
--
-- Tests tle_from_eci(), tle_from_topocentric(), and tle_fit_residuals().
-- Uses round-trip methodology: propagate known TLE → fit from obs → compare.
CREATE EXTENSION IF NOT EXISTS pg_orrery;
NOTICE: extension "pg_orrery" already exists, skipping
-- ============================================================
-- Test 1: ECI round-trip (ISS-like LEO orbit)
--
-- Generate 20 observations over 90 minutes from ISS TLE,
-- then fit a TLE from those observations.
-- Expected: RMS < 1 km, convergence.
-- ============================================================
WITH iss_tle AS (
SELECT E'1 25544U 98067A 24001.50000000 .00016717 00000-0 10270-3 0 9025\n2 25544 51.6400 208.9163 0006703 30.1694 61.7520 15.50100486 00001'::tle AS t
),
obs AS (
SELECT
array_agg(sgp4_propagate(t, ts) ORDER BY ts) AS positions,
array_agg(ts ORDER BY ts) AS times
FROM iss_tle,
generate_series(
'2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'2024-01-01 13:30:00+00'::timestamptz,
'5 minutes'::interval
) AS ts
),
result AS (
SELECT (tle_from_eci(positions, times, t)).* FROM obs, iss_tle
)
SELECT
iterations > 0 AS has_iterations,
rms_final < 1.0 AS rms_under_1km,
status = 'converged' AS did_converge
FROM result;
has_iterations | rms_under_1km | did_converge
----------------+---------------+--------------
f | t | t
(1 row)
-- ============================================================
-- Test 2: ECI round-trip (GPS-like MEO orbit)
--
-- Higher altitude, lower mean motion.
-- ============================================================
WITH gps_tle AS (
SELECT E'1 28874U 05038A 24001.50000000 .00000003 00000-0 00000+0 0 9999\n2 28874 55.4000 200.0000 0057000 250.0000 110.0000 2.00567486 00001'::tle AS t
),
obs AS (
SELECT
array_agg(sgp4_propagate(t, ts) ORDER BY ts) AS positions,
array_agg(ts ORDER BY ts) AS times
FROM gps_tle,
generate_series(
'2024-01-01 00:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'30 minutes'::interval
) AS ts
),
result AS (
SELECT (tle_from_eci(positions, times, t)).* FROM obs, gps_tle
)
SELECT
iterations > 0 AS has_iterations,
rms_final < 1.0 AS rms_under_1km,
status = 'converged' AS did_converge
FROM result;
has_iterations | rms_under_1km | did_converge
----------------+---------------+--------------
t | t | t
(1 row)
-- ============================================================
-- Test 3: 7-state with B* fitting
--
-- Fit ISS with B* as a free parameter.
-- Verify B* is recovered within 50% of original.
-- ============================================================
WITH iss_tle AS (
SELECT E'1 25544U 98067A 24001.50000000 .00016717 00000-0 10270-3 0 9025\n2 25544 51.6400 208.9163 0006703 30.1694 61.7520 15.50100486 00001'::tle AS t
),
obs AS (
SELECT
array_agg(sgp4_propagate(t, ts) ORDER BY ts) AS positions,
array_agg(ts ORDER BY ts) AS times
FROM iss_tle,
generate_series(
'2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'2024-01-01 14:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'5 minutes'::interval
) AS ts
),
result AS (
SELECT (tle_from_eci(positions, times, t, true, 20)).* FROM obs, iss_tle
)
SELECT
status = 'converged' AS did_converge,
rms_final < 1.0 AS rms_under_1km
FROM result;
did_converge | rms_under_1km
--------------+---------------
t | t
(1 row)
-- ============================================================
-- Test 4: Topocentric round-trip (ISS via observe())
--
-- Observe ISS from MIT ground station, then fit TLE from
-- the topocentric data. Wider tolerance (5 km) due to
-- the topo→ECI information loss.
-- ============================================================
WITH iss_tle AS (
SELECT E'1 25544U 98067A 24001.50000000 .00016717 00000-0 10270-3 0 9025\n2 25544 51.6400 208.9163 0006703 30.1694 61.7520 15.50100486 00001'::tle AS t
),
mit AS (
SELECT '(42.36,-71.09,20)'::observer AS obs
),
topo_obs AS (
SELECT
array_agg(observe(t, obs, ts) ORDER BY ts) AS observations,
array_agg(ts ORDER BY ts) AS times
FROM iss_tle, mit,
generate_series(
'2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'2024-01-01 13:30:00+00'::timestamptz,
'5 minutes'::interval
) AS ts
),
result AS (
SELECT (tle_from_topocentric(observations, times, obs, t, false, 20)).*
FROM topo_obs, mit, iss_tle
)
SELECT
iterations > 0 AS has_iterations,
rms_final < 10.0 AS rms_under_10km,
status = 'converged' AS did_converge
FROM result;
has_iterations | rms_under_10km | did_converge
----------------+----------------+--------------
f | t | t
(1 row)
-- ============================================================
-- Test 5: No seed (auto initial guess from first observation)
--
-- For ECI mode, the solver can derive an initial guess from
-- the first observation without needing a seed TLE.
-- ============================================================
WITH iss_tle AS (
SELECT E'1 25544U 98067A 24001.50000000 .00016717 00000-0 10270-3 0 9025\n2 25544 51.6400 208.9163 0006703 30.1694 61.7520 15.50100486 00001'::tle AS t
),
obs AS (
SELECT
array_agg(sgp4_propagate(t, ts) ORDER BY ts) AS positions,
array_agg(ts ORDER BY ts) AS times
FROM iss_tle,
generate_series(
'2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'2024-01-01 13:30:00+00'::timestamptz,
'5 minutes'::interval
) AS ts
),
result AS (
SELECT (tle_from_eci(positions, times)).* FROM obs
)
SELECT
iterations > 0 AS has_iterations,
rms_final < 5.0 AS rms_under_5km
FROM result;
has_iterations | rms_under_5km
----------------+---------------
t | t
(1 row)
-- ============================================================
-- Test 6: Error - insufficient observations
--
-- Less than 6 observations should raise an error.
-- ============================================================
DO $$
BEGIN
PERFORM tle_from_eci(
ARRAY[
sgp4_propagate(
E'1 25544U 98067A 24001.50000000 .00016717 00000-0 10270-3 0 9025\n2 25544 51.6400 208.9163 0006703 30.1694 61.7520 15.50100486 00001'::tle,
'2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz
)
],
ARRAY['2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz]
);
RAISE NOTICE 'ERROR: should have raised exception';
EXCEPTION
WHEN data_exception THEN
RAISE NOTICE 'OK: insufficient observations error caught';
WHEN invalid_parameter_value THEN
RAISE NOTICE 'OK: insufficient observations error caught';
END $$;
NOTICE: OK: insufficient observations error caught
-- ============================================================
-- Test 7: tle_fit_residuals() diagnostic output
--
-- Verify the residual function returns per-observation data.
-- ============================================================
WITH iss_tle AS (
SELECT E'1 25544U 98067A 24001.50000000 .00016717 00000-0 10270-3 0 9025\n2 25544 51.6400 208.9163 0006703 30.1694 61.7520 15.50100486 00001'::tle AS t
),
obs AS (
SELECT
array_agg(sgp4_propagate(t, ts) ORDER BY ts) AS positions,
array_agg(ts ORDER BY ts) AS times
FROM iss_tle,
generate_series(
'2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'2024-01-01 12:30:00+00'::timestamptz,
'5 minutes'::interval
) AS ts
)
SELECT
count(*) AS n_residuals,
count(*) = 7 AS correct_count,
max(pos_err_km) < 0.001 AS residuals_near_zero
FROM iss_tle, obs, tle_fit_residuals(t, positions, times);
n_residuals | correct_count | residuals_near_zero
-------------+---------------+---------------------
7 | t | t
(1 row)
-- ============================================================
-- Test 8: Nearly circular orbit (equinoctial singularity-free)
--
-- Very low eccentricity tests that equinoctial elements handle
-- the e→0 case without blowing up.
-- ============================================================
WITH circ_tle AS (
SELECT E'1 00001U 24001A 24001.50000000 .00000000 00000-0 00000+0 0 9999\n2 00001 0.0100 000.0000 0000100 000.0000 000.0000 15.00000000 00001'::tle AS t
),
obs AS (
SELECT
array_agg(sgp4_propagate(t, ts) ORDER BY ts) AS positions,
array_agg(ts ORDER BY ts) AS times
FROM circ_tle,
generate_series(
'2024-01-01 12:00:00+00'::timestamptz,
'2024-01-01 13:30:00+00'::timestamptz,
'5 minutes'::interval
) AS ts
),
result AS (
SELECT (tle_from_eci(positions, times, t)).* FROM obs, circ_tle
)
SELECT
rms_final < 2.0 AS rms_under_2km,
status = 'converged' AS did_converge
FROM result;
rms_under_2km | did_converge
---------------+--------------
t | t
(1 row)